Print Date: October 15, 2026 ||
Publish Date: October 14, 2026
Iran expands shipping attack strategy to pressure US before elections
International Desk, Reporter ||
Iran is changing its tactics to target commercial
shipping in an effort to keep global oil prices high and increase pressure on
Washington ahead of the US midterm elections in November, two senior Iranian
officials have told Reuters.Tehran is also planning to expand the
geographical scope of its operations beyond the Strait of Hormuz, targeting
waters in the Gulf of Oman and potentially areas farther afield, the officials
said.According to a Reuters report published on
Wednesday (October 14), Iran began using different offensive tactics against
vessels it considers to have violated its restrictions around 10 days ago. The
shift has reportedly led to an increase in attacks on such ships.The officials said one of the objectives of the
new strategy was to influence the outcome of the US midterm elections, which
will determine control of Congress.Iran seeks to frustrate efforts to lower oil
pricesOne of the senior Iranian officials told Reuters
that the aim was to frustrate efforts by the United States and its allies to
bring down global oil prices.The second official said Tehran would not allow
US President Donald Trump to lower oil prices before the November elections.Just when they think they are getting close to
the point where prices will fall, we will push them away from it. This is a
game of chess, the official said.The Iranian officials said the decision to adopt
the new tactics had been made at the highest levels of the country's leadership
and was coordinated across its governing system.Iran uses small boats to identify targetsA US military official, speaking on condition of
anonymity, said Iran had changed its methods of identifying potential targets
after US strikes destroyed much of its radar capability.The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has
begun using unarmed spotters aboard small boats to identify potential targets,
including US naval vessels, and relay information to the force, the official
said.In an incident last week that had not previously
been reported, the US military determined that Iranian spotters were operating
from a dhow and calling in targets to the IRGC.US forces confronted the vessel, ordered its
occupants to abandon ship and then destroyed it. No casualties were reported,
according to the US official.The official added that Iran had been unable to
prevent an increase in oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz, partly because
it was unwilling to risk its remaining fast boats. The country's navy has been
severely weakened by US strikes, the official said.Attacks may spread beyond the Strait of HormuzThe two Iranian officials said Tehran planned to
extend its operations beyond the Strait of Hormuz to the Gulf of Oman and other
waters farther away.Analysis by maritime security sources, based on
incidents reported to the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) and
regional security companies, suggests that attacks may already be spreading
beyond the strait.Recent incidents have reportedly involved vessels
in waters off Qatar and the United Arab Emirates.There is a tempo increase in strikes, which
looks deliberate, a maritime security source told Reuters.At least five incidents involving tankers and
other commercial vessels were reported in the Hormuz area over the previous 48
hours, according to maritime security data and reports submitted to UKMTO, a
British navy-affiliated agency. The incidents included drone strikes.Data from the International Maritime Organization
(IMO), the United Nations' shipping agency, also indicated a renewed
escalation, with the recent rate of attacks broadly matching that recorded
between October 3 and 5.Iran warns of a possible complete closureBoth Iranian officials said Tehran was moving
towards a situation in which vessels violating its restrictions would no longer
be allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.It will be complete closure soon, one of the
officials said.Before the war, the strait carried around
one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG) trade. Iran has sought
to establish control over the strategic waterway since the United States and
Israel launched strikes against the country on February 28.Iranian threats and attacks have significantly
reduced commercial traffic through the strait, although some oil shipments have
continued to pass through.Meanwhile, the United States has maintained a
naval blockade of Iranian ports and imposed additional sanctions as part of its
efforts to increase economic pressure on Tehran and secure a deal to end the
conflict.Trump has been weighing further steps against
Iran but has said he would not launch another attack before the US elections.Shipping risks threaten global energy marketsThe war and its economic costs have become
significant issues in the US election campaign. A Reuters report cited an
estimated monthly cost of around $3 billion for the conflict.The confrontation over the Strait of Hormuz has
left global energy markets vulnerable to further supply disruptions. The threat
of attacks, higher shipping expenses and rising insurance costs are
complicating efforts to restore normal maritime traffic.In its latest report on Sunday, the US Navy-led
Joint Maritime Information Center (JMIC) rated the threat to merchant shipping
in the Strait of Hormuz as “severe”, its second-highest threat level.The centre said IRGC attacks, attempted attacks
and harassment had continued, including unmanned aerial vehicle overflights,
targeted surveillance of merchant vessels and occasional hailing over very high
frequency (VHF) radio.The Pentagon and Iran's Foreign Ministry did not
immediately respond to Reuters' requests for comment.Source:
Reuters
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